Restoration Gamble

the fourth scenario to achieve carbon neutrality

Lifestyles of the early 21st century are safeguarded. But the abundance of goods consumes a great deal of energy and materials with a potentially high environmental impact.

Society places its trust in its ability to manage and even repair social and ecological systems with more material and financial resources to maintain a liveable world. This exclusive reliance on technology is a gamble, as some of them are not mature.

Society
in 2050

Energy efficiency and technical innovation

  • Development of large cities and land degradation in connection with the search for “ever more” comfort and safety
  • Improved efficiency of equipment and emergence of new highly efficient technologies
  • Digital technology is embedded in vehicle drivetrains and management of mobility.
+28%
miles driven due to increased
long distance travel.

Technological levers to support productive and specialised bioeconomic sectors

  • Agriculture and agri-food industries are highly specialised and competitive
  • The use of lignocellulosic biomass and wood waste for energy recovery is promoted
  • Profound changes in the forestry landscape (felling of deciduous trees and replanting with conifers).
More than
75%
of biomass
used for energy
(methanisation, biofuels).

Decarbonisation of industry focused on geological CO2 capture and storage

  • Major role of imports in a globalised world favouring trade in materials
  • Exploitation of natural resources and recycling pushed to the limit due to advanced technologies.
-19%
less energy consumption
by industry.
NB : the data shown in this infographic is defined in relation to the year 2015.

Download the scenario
infographic